Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study

نویسندگان

چکیده

With the accelerated pace of financial globalization and gradual increase in linkages among markets, correctly identifying describing risk spillover network diffusion system is extremely important for prevention management systemic risk. Based on this, this paper takes equity markets 17 countries around world from 2007 to 2022 as research object, measures volatility effect global using R-Vine Copula DY index, constructs discovers pattern market risks, provides relevant suggestions management. It found that (1) there are certain aggregation characteristics spillover; (2) developed European such Netherlands, France, UK, Germany at center have a strong influence; (3) Asian China, Japan, India periphery network; (4) shocks crisis events enhance effect. above findings, effective reduction need be carried out two ways. First, by focusing key network, Germany. The second approach mitigate uneven development reduce high correlation them.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management

What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in financial econometrics, which are likely to produce more accurate assessments of market risk. Clearly, th...

متن کامل

Political Risk, Financial Crisis, and Market Volatility

This paper examines the impact of political uncertainty on the recent financial crises in emerging markets. By examining political election cycles, we find that eight out of nine of the recent financial crises happened during periods of political election and transition. Using a combination of probit and switching regression analysis, we find that there is a significant relationship between pol...

متن کامل

Empirical Analysis of Volatility Spillover Effects in International Financial Markets

Volatility spillover effect in international financial markets is one of the principal issues that widely attract academic and industrial scholars’ attention. Through constructing a binary GARCH-BEKK model, this study empirically tests the volatility effects among stock market, gold market, WTI crude oil futures market and spot market, and concludes that there is bidirectional volatility spillo...

متن کامل

Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions

We propose the systemic risk beta as a measure for financial companies’ contribution to systemic risk given network interdependence between firms’ tail risk exposures. Conditional on statistically pre-identified network spillover effects and market and balance sheet information, we define the systemic risk beta as the time-varying marginal effect of a firm’s Value-at-risk (VaR) on the system’s ...

متن کامل

An Optimization View of Financial Systemic Risk Modeling: Network Effect and Market Liquidity Effect

Financial institutions are interconnected directly by holding debt claims against each other (the network channel), and they are also bound by the market when selling assets to raise cash in distressful circumstances (the liquidity channel). The goal of our study is to investigate how these two channels of risk interact to propagate individual defaults to a system-wide catastrophe. We formulate...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mathematics

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2227-7390']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/math11061396